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Live · ABS ERP June 2025

Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park

NSW · 5 schools · zoned Hoxton Park Public School · 10 childcare services

14,106 residents - 24.1% are children under 15, median age 33, the largest overseas-born community is Iraq (8.9%).

Family-Fit score

Our method is published below
71 /100
Strong for families

Strong for families - strongest on childcare & early years, weakest on housing affordability.

Schools in the area · 20% of the score
77/100

NSW median 70/100

5 schools in this SA2 · average government-school ICSEA 984

Childcare & early years · 15% of the score
100/100

NSW median 90/100

10 NQS-rated services nearby

Everyday amenities · 15% of the score
79/100

NSW median 67/100

13 parks · 2 GPs · 2 supermarkets · 15 playgrounds

Housing affordability · 15% of the score
22/100

NSW median 38/100

Paying over 30% of income on housing: 23.2% of mortgage-holding households, 40.4% of renting households

Families already here · 10% of the score
97/100

NSW median 67/100

24.1% of residents are children aged 0–14 · 64.1% of families are couples with children

Socio-economic profile · 10% of the score
56/100

NSW median 56/100

SEIFA IRSAD decile 6 of 10 nationally

The grey marker on each bar is the median across the 612 New South Wales areas we publish a score for (state median overall: 63/100). It is context, not a pass mark.

Not scored here (no published data for this area, so it is left out rather than counted as zero): Getting around. The remaining inputs were rescaled to 100.

How this score is calculated

Every input is a free, already-published government figure for the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2, mapped onto 0–100 by the fixed thresholds written below, then weighted. Inputs with no published data for this area are dropped and the rest rescaled - never scored as zero. We publish this method in full; the point of the score is that you can check it.

Schools in the area 77/100 × 20% → 18.1 points
5 schools in this SA2 · average government-school ICSEA 984
How many schools: 0 schools scores 0, 4 or more scores 100. Intake context: average ICSEA of the government schools here, mapped 900 → 0 and 1100 → 100, worth 40% of this input. ICSEA describes the students a school enrols (parents’ education and occupation) - it is not a ranking of teaching quality, and no NAPLAN or VCE result is used anywhere in this score.
Childcare & early years 100/100 × 15% → 17.6 points
10 NQS-rated services nearby
Childcare, preschool and outside-school-hours services on the ACECQA National Quality Standard register, matched by suburb name: 0 services scores 0, 10 or more scores 100. Counts services, not their ratings. Where no service matched by name the input is dropped, never scored as zero - a name-match miss is not evidence of no childcare.
Everyday amenities 79/100 × 15% → 14 points
13 parks · 2 GPs · 2 supermarkets · 15 playgrounds
Counted from OpenStreetMap inside this SA2 and averaged: parks (6+ scores 100), GPs (4+), supermarkets (3+), playgrounds (4+). OpenStreetMap is community-mapped, so a low count can mean “not mapped yet” as well as “not there”.
Getting around no data here - not counted
No train-time data for NSW yet, and no station mapped inside this SA2 - not counted either way
Median weekday AM-peak train time from the nearest station to the state CBD terminus (state GTFS timetables): 20 minutes or less scores 100, 75 minutes or more scores 0.
Housing affordability 22/100 × 15% → 3.9 points
Paying over 30% of income on housing: 23.2% of mortgage-holding households, 40.4% of renting households
The ABS mortgage and rent affordability indicators for this SA2, averaged: 35% or more of households paying over 30% of income scores 0, 8% or less scores 100. The two percentages have different denominators (mortgage-holding vs renting households) and are never summed - only averaged for this input.
Families already here 97/100 × 10% → 11.4 points
24.1% of residents are children aged 0–14 · 64.1% of families are couples with children
2021 Census, averaged: children aged 0–14 as a share of residents (10% scores 0, 25% scores 100) and couple families with children as a share of families (20% scores 0, 50% scores 100). It measures whether families already live here, not whether they should.
Socio-economic profile 56/100 × 10% → 6.5 points
SEIFA IRSAD decile 6 of 10 nationally
The ABS SEIFA index of relative advantage and disadvantage (IRSAD) for this SA2: decile 1 scores 0, decile 10 scores 100. IRSAD summarises the income, education and occupation mix of an area. It is not a measure of safety, of school quality, or of the people who live there.

Read the bars, not just the number. Two inputs - school intake profile and SEIFA - both partly reflect how wealthy an area is, so they tend to move together. That is a real limitation of the score, which is why the breakdown is shown next to it.

What is deliberately not in it. School results (NAPLAN or VCE), crime, and flood or bushfire overlays are not graded into this score. Those appear elsewhere on this page as the official figures themselves, described in words - never reduced to a grade.

Sources: ACARA school register, ACECQA National Quality Standard register, OpenStreetMap, state GTFS timetables, ABS Census 2021, ABS SEIFA 2021 and the ABS housing affordability indicators. Where each dataset comes from →

Download image
Shade the map by values: Hoxton Park

Boundaries: ABS Suburbs & Localities 2021. School pins are ACARA's published locations. Map © OpenStreetMap contributors, © CARTO. Open the full NSW map →

Why “Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park”? The ABS divides the larger suburb of Hoxton Park into several statistical areas (SA2s); this profile covers one part of it. Other parts are listed further down. SA2 boundaries don’t always match suburb boundaries. It covers the gazetted suburbs of Hoxton Park, Horningsea Park and Carnes Hill, drawn separately on the map above.

Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park is a locality in the Bringelly - Green Valley area of New South Wales. This profile draws on ABS population and Census figures, the ACARA school register and ACECQA childcare ratings for the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2.

Family snapshot

Living in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park

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A mid-sized suburb particularly popular with young families. Strong Iraq communities here (2021 Census). Many childcare options nearby - 10 NQS-rated services. Mostly detached family homes.

Source: ABS population estimates · ABS Census 2021 · ACARA · ACECQA
In their own terms

What families notice

Live
Families often notice
  • This address is zoned to Hoxton Park Public School (government, no fees).
  • Recorded incidents are down 21% on the year before.
  • 13 parks mapped inside this SA2 (OpenStreetMap).
Good to know
  • About 40% of renters here spend over 30% of income on rent - above the standard affordability guideline (ABS Census 2021).
  • We don't yet have property or rent figures for this area - check a real-estate portal directly for current prices.
Source: Templated from the live data on this page - ABS, ACARA, ACECQA, BOCSAR/CSA Victoria, SEIFA 2021.
At a glance
See it on the map ↑
Schools
5
Top ICSEA 985 (gov)
Childcare
10
NQS-rated services
Recorded incidents
151
-21% vs prior year
Population
14,106
+0.4% in 1 year
Compare Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park with another suburb
Side-by-side schools, safety, price & more in the Move Planner.
Family essentials

Schools, childcare & safety

Live data for the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 - ACARA schools register, ACECQA childcare ratings, police-recorded incidents.

Your zoned school Live VIC + NSW catchments

Hoxton Park Public School

The government school your child can attend for free by living in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park.

Sector Government
Years K-6
Students 531
ICSEA 985
A picture of students’ family backgrounds - not a ranking or a quality score.

This is the zoned government school for the centre of Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park (NSW catchment data) - addresses elsewhere in the suburb may be zoned to a different school.

See the catchment on the map
Also nearby - Catholic & Independent schools (not your catchment)
Good Samaritan Catholic College
Catholic 1,297 students
ICSEA 1006 intake context
Holy Spirit Catholic Primary School
Catholic 669 students
ICSEA 1059 intake context
Good Shepherd Catholic Primary School
Catholic 469 students
ICSEA 1037 intake context

Fee-paying schools can’t be enrolled in by zone - they’re shown for context, not as the area’s school quality.

We show school intake context and catchments, not exam results. We don’t publish a school ranking.

Schools in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park

Live

ICSEA reflects student intake context, not teaching quality (1000 = national average). All NSW schools →

Source: ACARA School Profile 2025

Childcare & early learning

Live
  • SCECS OSHC Holy Spirit Carnes Hill
    Centre-Based Care · 160 places · Carnes Hill
    Rated Jun 2026
    Exceeding NQS
  • Community Kids Horningsea Park Early Education Centre
    Centre-Based Care · 52 places · Horningsea Park
    Rated Oct 2025
    Exceeding NQS
  • Amana OSHC MFIS Hoxton Park
    Centre-Based Care · 100 places · Hoxton Park
    Rated Dec 2025
    Meeting NQS
  • Goodstart Early Learning Horningsea Park
    Centre-Based Care · 90 places · Horningsea Park
    Rated Dec 2021 · over 3 years old, check for a more recent assessment
    Meeting NQS
  • Inspire Childcare
    Centre-Based Care · 83 places · Hoxton Park
    Rated Nov 2025
    Meeting NQS
  • First Steps Before After & Vacation Care
    Centre-Based Care · 75 places · Carnes Hill
    Rated Jun 2024
    Meeting NQS
  • Camp Australia - Hoxton Park Public School OSHC
    Centre-Based Care · 75 places · Hoxton Park
    Rated Jun 2021 · over 3 years old, check for a more recent assessment
    Meeting NQS
  • SCECS OSHC Good Shepherd Hoxton Park
    Centre-Based Care · 75 places · Hoxton Park
    Rated Apr 2024
    Meeting NQS
  • Brightstart Early Learning
    Centre-Based Care · 73 places · Hoxton Park
    Rated May 2023 · over 3 years old, check for a more recent assessment
    Meeting NQS
  • Milestones Early Learning Hoxton Park
    Centre-Based Care · 46 places · Hoxton Park
    Rated Nov 2024
    Meeting NQS
Average subsidised fee - Bringelly - Green Valley area
Centre-based day care
$14.10/hr
Outside school hours care
$9.40/hr

Mean hourly fee across CCS-approved services, December quarter 2025 - Dept of Education. Published at SA3 level (a wider area than this suburb's SA2), so it's an average across Bringelly - Green Valley and surrounds, not this specific service list.

NQS = National Quality Standard, the government benchmark ACECQA rates every service against - from "Working Towards" (below benchmark) up through "Meeting", "Exceeding" and "Excellent". Services matched by suburb name on the ACECQA register - verify locations before visiting. Ratings are reassessed periodically, not on a fixed schedule - a rating over 3 years old is flagged so you know to check for anything more recent.

Source: ACECQA NQS register, refreshed Jul 2026

Safety - recorded incidents

Live
Incidents, latest year
151
vs previous year
-21%
vs 2021
188
  • Theft 55
  • Intimidation, stalking and harassment 28
  • Assault 26
  • Malicious damage to property 16
  • Against justice procedures 11

Police-recorded incident counts (Calendar years; latest = Jan-Dec 2025). These are not population-adjusted and are not a judgement about the suburb - larger, busier areas record more incidents. More on safety →

Source: NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research (BOCSAR), released 2026 Q1
The neighbourhood
Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park · 3 gazetted suburbs

The suburbs in this area

Live

Everything else on this page is published for Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park as a whole - one ABS statistical area covering 3 separate gazetted suburbs. These are the figures published for each of those suburbs on its own.

Gazetted suburbs inside Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park, with each suburb's own published figures.
Suburb Residents
Census 2021
Schools Median
house price
Hoxton Park 4,572 2 $1.29M
Horningsea Park 3,673 1 $1.29M
Carnes Hill 3,332 1 $1.29M

Each row is that suburb's own published figure - nothing here is the wider area's number divided up. Resident counts are the Census 2021 usual-resident count for the gazetted suburb, so they will not add up to the population at the top of this page, which is the ABS's later June 2025 estimate for the whole statistical area: a different measure on a different date. Schools are ACARA-registered schools whose published address falls inside the suburb boundary, which is not the same as the school your address is zoned to. Median house prices in New South Wales are published by postcode, not by suburb (marked *), so suburbs sharing a postcode show the same figure - it describes the postcode, not the individual suburb. Every other figure on this page - safety, overlays, commute, amenities, projections, the Family-Fit score - is published for the whole statistical area and cannot be separated by suburb.

Source: ABS Census of Population and Housing 2021, General Community Profile for Suburbs and Localities; ABS ASGS Edition 3 suburb boundaries; ACARA School Location 2025; NSW Department of Communities and Justice median house sale prices (by postcode).
The neighbourhood, in people

Ages of people here

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17.4% of people here are school-age children (5–14) - more than the New South Wales average of 12.4%, and 6.7% are under 5. The median age is 33.

0–4 years · before school
6.7%

NSW avg 5.8%

5–14 years · school age
17.4%

NSW avg 12.4%

15–19 years · teens
8.3%

NSW avg 5.7%

20–34 years
19.5%

NSW avg 20.3%

35–54 years
29.4%

NSW avg 26.3%

55–64 years
10.4%

NSW avg 11.9%

65 years and over
8.3%

NSW avg 17.6%

Share of all residents of Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park (ABS Statistical Area 2) at the 2021 Census. Bands are the ABS’s own age groups, combined only where whole groups sit side by side - nothing is split or estimated inside a group. The seven shares cover everyone, but they don’t total exactly 100%: the ABS adjusts small counts slightly to protect privacy. The grey marker on each bar is the New South Wales average, population-weighted across the 641 SA2s in the state and shown for context only - it is not a target or a pass mark.

Source: ABS Census 2021, General Community Profile (SA2)
The neighbourhood, in people

Households and families

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80% of families here have children living at home - more than the New South Wales average of 60%. The largest overseas-born communities are Iraq (8.9%), Fiji (4.8%) and Vietnam (3%). 22% of homes are rented.

Family make-up

Share of all families in the area. A small "other family" group the ABS also counts is not shown.

Couple with children
64.1%

NSW avg 44.5%

One-parent family
15.6%

NSW avg 15.9%

Couple, no children
19.7%

NSW avg 37.9%

What people live in

Share of occupied private dwellings. Other and unstated structures are not shown.

Separate house
94.2%

NSW avg 67.4%

Semi-detached / townhouse
5.4%

NSW avg 11.6%

Flat or apartment
0.5%

NSW avg 20.3%

Owned or rented

Share of occupied private dwellings. Other and unstated tenures are not shown.

Owned outright
20.4%

NSW avg 31.9%

Owned with a mortgage
56.1%

NSW avg 33.7%

Rented
22.3%

NSW avg 32.5%

Figures describe Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park (ABS Statistical Area 2) at the 2021 Census. The grey marker on each bar is the New South Wales average, population-weighted across the 641 SA2s in the state and shown for context only - it is not a target or a pass mark. The ABS does not publish every breakdown for smaller areas, so some groups may be missing.

Source: ABS Census 2021, General Community Profile (SA2)
The neighbourhood, in people

Who lives in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park

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Top 5 overseas birthplaces shown · 78.7% born in Australia or a country not in the top five.

Iraq · growing since 2016
8.9%

NSW avg 0.6%

Fiji · established by 2016
4.8%

NSW avg 0.2%

Vietnam · established by 2016
3%

NSW avg 0.9%

Philippines · established by 2016
2.6%

NSW avg 0.9%

India · established by 2016
2%

NSW avg 2.3%

Co-located communities
Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park is home to established Iraq, Fiji, Vietnam, Philippines and India communities - each is 2% or more of residents born overseas here, not a ranking of one against another.
Nearby
West Hoxton - Middleton Grange, Hinchinbrook and Prestons also have an established Iraq community.
Settlement pattern
Of overseas-born residents who stated when they arrived, 8.4% arrived in the last 5 years (2016–2021) (NSW avg 16.2%) and 55.2% arrived before 2001 (NSW avg 52%).
English at home
Of residents who speak a language other than English at home and stated their English proficiency, 14.9% report speaking English “not well” or “not at all” (NSW avg 13.5%) - a self-reported ABS figure across all languages combined, not a judgement of any one community.

Figures describe Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park (ABS Statistical Area 2) at the 2021 Census. The grey marker on each bar is the New South Wales average, population-weighted across the 641 SA2s in the state and shown for context only - it is not a target or a pass mark. The ABS publishes only the five largest communities per suburb, so a name missing from the list didn’t rank in the top five - not that nobody from it lives here. “Established by 2016” means that community was already a comparable share of the population at the 2016 Census; “growing since 2016” means its share has grown substantially since then. Both are facts about population change, not a ranking of one community against another.

Source: ABS Census 2021, General Community Profile (SA2)

Socio-economic index (SEIFA)

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Decile (1 lowest – 10 highest)
Decile 6 of 10
Where this sits in NSW
top 50% of New South Wales areas

IRSAD (the Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage) ranks this SA2 against every other area in Australia on income, education, occupation and other Census indicators, then groups them into ten equal-sized deciles. It's a relative comparison of the whole area - not a safety, liveability, or school-quality measure, and it says nothing about any individual household.

Source: ABS SEIFA 2021, IRSAD index (SA2)
Three censuses, same boundaries

Which way this area is moving

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A single census tells you what Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park is like now. Three tell you which way it has been heading. These are the 2011, 2016 and 2021 Censuses counted on today's boundaries.

Since 2011, Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park has grown older, with a smaller share of children, more residents born overseas and more residents speaking another language at home.

People counted
+4,273 people since 2011

Usual residents counted on Census night.

Median age
+3 years since 2011

Half the residents are older than this, half younger.

Children aged 0–14
−2.3 pts since 2011

Share of all residents. The clearest signal of families arriving or moving on.

Born overseas
+3.0 pts since 2011

Share of all residents born outside Australia.

Speak another language at home
+4.6 pts since 2011

Share of residents who stated a language, speaking one other than English at home.

The dashed line is the median across the areas we profile in New South Wales - up to 612, counting only those that report that same measure at all three Censuses, which differs slightly by measure. It is a typical area to read this one against, not a state total, and not a target this suburb is meant to hit. Each chart carries its own axis, drawn to fit its own numbers, so compare the labelled values rather than the steepness of one chart against another. Every figure is an ABS published count, or a share of two of them - there is no index or score here, and a direction is not a verdict: a rising median age or a falling share of children is simply a change, not a better or worse suburb. The three censuses are reported on 2021 SA2 boundaries, so changes are not caused by boundary redraws. ABS adjusts small counts slightly to protect confidentiality, so treat small movements as noise.

Source: ABS Census Time Series Profile 2021 (2011, 2016 and 2021 Censuses, SA2)
Liverpool council area · official projection

How many people will live around here

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The rest of this page looks backwards. This is the one number that looks forward - and it is the state government's own, not ours. Travel Zone Projections 2024 (Transport for NSW) projects the Liverpool council area, which contains Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park along with its neighbouring suburbs, to grow to 362,980 people by 2041: 129,070 more people than the 233,910 counted in 2021.

This is the council area, not Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park. Liverpool is a whole local government area covering many suburbs, and neither state publishes a projection for a single suburb. Growth is never spread evenly across a council - a greenfield estate and an established street inside the same council will move very differently - so read this as the direction of the wider area a suburb sits in, not as a forecast for its own streets. Only the years the publisher itself lists are plotted: nothing is filled in between them, and nothing is carried past 2041. A projection is an assumption about the future, not a measurement of it, and it will be revised - this one was released 2024. These figures sit on the projection's own series, so they are not directly comparable with the ABS resident-population and Census counts elsewhere on this page, which use different geographies and different years.

Source: Travel Zone Projections 2024 (TZP24), Transport for NSW, released 2024 (source, CC BY 4.0). Published for the council area, not the suburb; figures rounded to the nearest 10.
Lifestyle & getting around
What's within the area

Lifestyle & getting around

Live

Everything mapped inside the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park boundary, plus how long it takes to leave it. Counts are of features tagged in OpenStreetMap - we don't score or rank them, and each one is shown next to the middle NSW area so a number means something.

Everyday essentials

2

Supermarkets

Middle NSW area: 2

2

GPs & clinics

Middle NSW area: 1

13

Parks

Middle NSW area: 17

15

Playgrounds

Middle NSW area: 9

0

Train stations

Middle NSW area: 0

1

Libraries

Middle NSW area: 1

Community & recreation

0

Places of worship

Middle NSW area: 1

0

Community centres

Middle NSW area: 0

0

Swimming pools

Middle NSW area: 0

0

Sports centres

Middle NSW area: 0

Out with a baby

2

Baby-change tables

0

Baby-care rooms

Public-toilet facilities recorded on the National Public Toilet Map - not every place in the area that will let you change a baby.

Getting out of the area

  • Train to the city

    Not published

    New South Wales publishes its timetable data behind a free developer account we have not yet set up, so we show no travel time here. This is a gap on our side, not a statement about the transport in this area.

  • Nearest emergency department

    Mapped

    Liverpool Hospital · 7.6 km

    Straight-line distance from the middle of this area to the nearest hospital tagged with an emergency department - not a drive time, and not necessarily the closest by road. General emergency departments treat children as well as adults. In an emergency call 000; do not plan around this figure.

Counts are of features tagged in OpenStreetMap inside the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park boundary, not a register of everything that exists - community mapping is uneven, so a zero can mean "not mapped" rather than "not there", and a shop or clinic just over the boundary won't appear here even if it is the one you'd use. “Middle NSW area” is the median count across the 635 New South Wales areas we hold counts for - context, not a target. Areas differ hugely in size, so we never turn these counts into a rate, index or score. Verify anything you're relying on with a local directory or a visit.

Source: © OpenStreetMap contributors · baby-facility counts from the National Public Toilet Map (Continence Foundation of Australia, funded by the Australian Government Department of Health, Disability and Ageing, CC BY 3.0 AU)
Risks & checks
What the official record says

Risks & things to check

Live

The checks families run one by one before committing to Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park, in one place. Every line is an official published record for the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park area - we don't rate, score or rank any of them, and a line we can't answer says so.

  • Flooding

    Not published

    New South Wales publishes flood planning maps council by council, with no free statewide layer we can republish - check the local council's flood planning map for this area.

  • Bushfire

    Designated Bush Fire Prone Land

    Present in this area

    Part of this area is mapped as Bush Fire Prone Land by the NSW Rural Fire Service. This designation is drawn broadly around vegetation across most of NSW, so read it as "check the property", not as a measure of how exposed the area is.

  • Heritage controls

    In an official overlay

    Present in this area

    Part of this area sits inside the heritage layer in the local environmental plan, so changes to buildings there - extensions, demolition, sometimes even paint colours - need planning approval. It applies property by property: most homes in an area with an overlay are not in it, and being in one is a protection as much as a restriction. Almost every NSW area contains some heritage-listed land, so read this as "check the address", not as something that sets this area apart.

  • Traffic noise

    Freeway or highway present

    Westlink M7

    1 named road through this area carries OpenStreetMap's highest classification - a freeway, motorway or major highway, whatever the road is called locally, alongside 6 named main roads. Roads are counted by name, not by mapped segment. Where a home sits relative to them matters far more than the count - a street two blocks back can be quiet.

  • Aircraft noise

    Not mapped

    New South Wales maps aircraft-noise contours only where a council or precinct plan writes them in - four councils and the Western Sydney Airport precinct do. Sydney Airport's contours are published federally in its master plan and are not in the state layer, so read this as "nothing mapped here", not as a quiet area.

  • Land contamination checks

    Not mapped

    New South Wales records contaminated land in the EPA's searchable register of notified sites rather than in a planning-scheme map layer, so we have no overlay to show for this area. Search the NSW EPA contaminated land record for a specific address - nothing mapped here means we have not checked it, not that the land is clear.

  • Acid sulfate soils

    None mapped

    New South Wales classifies acid sulfate soils in the planning instruments of its coastal and estuarine councils only, and none is mapped in this area. These soils form in low-lying coastal sediments, so away from the coast and the estuaries there is nothing to map - read this as outside the mapped zone rather than as a soil test.

  • Recorded crime

    Official counts published

    151 incidents

    Police-recorded criminal incidents in Calendar years; latest = Jan-Dec 2025, down 21% on the prior year. A count, not a rate - busier areas with more shops, stations and visitors record more incidents than quiet ones of the same size. Full breakdown ↑

  • Social housing

    Census figure

    1.1% rented from a state or territory housing authority · 0.5% from a community housing provider

    Share of occupied private dwellings here with a stated tenure (Census 2021). The middle NSW area is 1.6% public and 0.7% community, across 624 areas. Listed because families ask; it is a fact about who owns the homes, not a judgement about the people in them.

Hazard lines republish the extent of an official overlay across the whole Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park area - they are not a risk rating, hazard score or insurance assessment, and we compute none. A specific address inside the area may or may not be affected: check the current planning scheme and your insurer. Not financial or insurance advice. The traffic line names the roads mapped inside the area - it is not a noise measurement or a decibel estimate, and we compute neither: what a specific home hears depends on distance, traffic volume, speed, barriers and terrain, which no free dataset publishes. The heritage, aircraft-noise and land-contamination lines are planning controls rather than hazards, and apply property by property - the contamination line flags land an audit must check before it is used for housing or childcare, never land found to be contaminated. The acid-sulfate line covers coastal and estuarine land only, because that is where those soils form - inland, "none mapped" means outside the mapped zone, not a soil test. We don't yet cover EPA notices, mine subsidence, landslide or coastal erosion - where a line is missing, treat it as not checked rather than clear.

Source: NSW Rural Fire Service Bush Fire Prone Land, © State Government of NSW and NSW Rural Fire Service · NSW Planning EPI Heritage, Airport Noise + Acid Sulfate Soils, © State of New South Wales, Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure - CC BY 4.0 · NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research (BOCSAR), released 2026 Q1 · ABS Census 2021 (G37 tenure and landlord type) · © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL) - road classification
Development
Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park · new dwellings approved

What's being built here

Live

42 new homes were approved in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park in the year to June 2025. Councils approved 255 new dwellings here across the 6 years to June 2025 - an approval is permission to build, not a home that exists yet.

42

Approved in the year to June 2025

Middle NSW area: 37

203

Separate houses

Private sector, over these 6 years

52

Townhouses & apartments

Private sector, over these 6 years

An approval is not a building. These are dwellings a council approved; some are never built, and the ones that are usually take years, so this is a signal of what is planned around a suburb, not a count of homes standing in it. It is also not a forecast - nothing here is projected forward. The total covers every dwelling approved, public and private; the houses and apartments figures are the private-sector split the ABS publishes, and the two do not add up to the total wherever public housing was approved. Figures are for the whole Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park statistical area, which usually covers more than one suburb, and are counts only - never divided by land area or population, and never combined into a score. The dashed line is the median of the 599New South Wales areas with a complete series - a typical area, for context, not a target or a pass mark.

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics, Data by region, 2011-2025 (cat. 1410.0), sourced from ABS Building Approvals, Australia (cat. 8731.0) (source, CC BY 4.0). Each year is a year ended 30 June, published for the SA2, not the suburb.
Money
What households here actually pay

Housing cost pressure

Live

In Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park, 40.4% of renting households spend more than 30% of their income on rent, and 23.2% of households with a mortgage spend more than 30% on repayments - the ABS's stretched-household threshold (Census 2021).

How many households here are stretched by what they pay for housing. The 30% line is the ABS's own long-standing threshold - these are their published figures, not our calculation.

Mortgage over 30% of income
23.2%

NSW avg 17.3%

Share of households WITH a mortgage whose repayments take more than 30% of income. That's 458 of 1,742 households with a stated repayment.

Rent over 30% of income
40.4%

NSW avg 35.5%

Share of RENTING households whose rent takes more than 30% of income. That's 317 of 702 households with a stated rent.

The two figures cover different households - one counts only households paying off a mortgage, the other only households renting - so they are shown separately and must not be added or averaged. Income is the ABS's imputed household income; their published percentage also counts households that did not state a repayment or rent, which is why it does not equal the two counts above divided by each other. The grey marker on each bar is the NSW average, weighted by household base across the SA2s in the state that report each figure (622 for mortgage and 622 for rent), and is context only - not a target. Census 2021 - housing costs have moved since. Not financial advice.

Source: ABS Census 2021 - Mortgage & Rent Affordability Indicator Datasets (via ABS Data by Region, SA2)
Population & growth
Population
14,106
Jun 2025
1yr growth
+0.40%
2024→25
Net change
+55
people / yr
Density
3,418
people / km²
Where in NSW
Full map →

Where did the gain come from?

+55
Natural increase
Births minus deaths
+118
Internal migration
Net movers from elsewhere in Australia
-142
Overseas migration
Net arrivals from overseas
+79

Reading the streams: organic growth - more babies than goodbyes - was the biggest driver.

Growth vs benchmarks
Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park
+0.40%
NSW median
+0.60%
National median
+0.80%